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Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:28 pm
by Softball Bat
Biden/Harris - 312
Trump/Pence - 219

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:44 pm
by Diego in Seattle
Biden will win the popular vote 65% to 35%, but will only win with 296 electoral votes.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:54 pm
by BSmack
Biden: 373
Trump: 165

GOP will have 47 seats in the Senate, 160 in the house.

Time to pay the piper.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2020 11:05 pm
by FiatLux
schmick wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:31 pm Country votes red on election day...316-222.... then in the next couple weeks millions of harvested ballots show up and every single one of them is a straight democrat vote to flip all the election day winners Confidence in the elections are shot, the police all walk off their jobs because the left won't support them and we can finally get this civil war cracking and I legally get to shoot leftists.






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Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 2:42 am
by mvscal
Diego in Seattle wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:44 pm Biden will win the popular vote 65% to 35%,
:lol: :lol: :lol:

Speaking of crackheads...

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 2:45 am
by Adelpiero
Diego in Seattle wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 9:44 pm Biden will win the popular vote 65% to 35%,
LOL, care to wager on this?

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 2:53 am
by mvscal
Trump rolls. 296-242

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 3:05 am
by smackaholic
I think the dems could have won this, had they stuck to free healfcare and global warming nonsense, because you can at least make an argument for them.

Instead they went all in on politicizing the worst pandemic in a century, incited a race war and backed a senile, undeniably corrupt POS.

Elections generally come down to convincing those in the middle to vote for them. I just don't see how truly neutral people will buy into that horseshit.

Also, shutdown fatigue will swing a lot of votes to TBOM.

Crazy guy cracks 300.....again. Rs hold the Senate, maybe even get the house back.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 3:13 am
by FiatLux
mvscal wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 2:53 am Trump rolls. 296-242



This is why you live in Nebraska...

... and I'm the truth


After going back and forth from Tejas to 'San Francisco every week.

Wouldn't shock me to see the Lone Star State go BLUE. Never seen anything like it.

My boys from Longview, TX. who come to the show every weekend and were Trumpers... tell me ... even east Tejas is embarrassed by Trump and their girls won't give them pussy if they vote for the freak.

Too funny.


Biden in a Landslide


You know who I am...

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 4:02 am
by FiatLux
smackaholic wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 3:05 am I think the dems could have won this, had they stuck to free healfcare and global warming nonsense, because you can at least make an argument for them.

Instead they went all in on politicizing the worst pandemic in a century, incited a race war and backed a senile, undeniably corrupt POS.

Elections generally come down to convincing those in the middle to vote for them. I just don't see how truly neutral people will buy into that horseshit.

Also, shutdown fatigue will swing a lot of votes to TBOM.

Crazy guy cracks 300.....again. Rs hold the Senate, maybe even get the house back.



You're a straight up retard.


unreal.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 6:32 am
by Carson
Adelpiero wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 2:45 am
Whoa

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2020 3:07 pm
by L45B
Convincing the loser— whichever of the two it ends up being— that he actually won will be the easiest sell of all time. But for different reasons.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2020 4:31 pm
by Innocent Bystander
Europeans are making money off betting on this. That makes me uncomfortable.


I like BP's prediction. I have to be different. :(

Trump - 340 (New Jersey goes rogue.)
Biden - 198 (west coast, east coast, Illinois, Colorado, New Mexico and North Carolina because kingmakers gonna play checkers with black futures.)

No tie-breakers from me. Networks milk declaring a winner until California officially closes, fake too close to tells for states where it's a done Trump deal, a la 2016.

Biden concedes before the networks do. Kamala is already drunk. Hunter is cracked out fucking two escorts, secretly relieved. China wins no matter who gets it because the rest of the world has moved on.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2020 10:02 pm
by Kierland
mvscal wrote: Fri Oct 30, 2020 2:53 am Trump rolls. 296-242
There is only one (semi)realistic possibility of that happening. He would have to win every Evote he won last time except the 10 from Wisconsin. There are no other roads to that number that are even plausible.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2020 10:14 pm
by Bill in Houston
Being realistic or even plausible has never been vaguely related to anything to do with him.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Sat Oct 31, 2020 10:16 pm
by Bill in Houston
Joseph Biden 306 - Mango Mussolini 232

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Sun Nov 01, 2020 3:51 am
by Derron
Twitter is already doing the set up on the vote by mail thing. They have a header that says with the vote by mail we will not know for days who the winner is despite claims by the candidates that they won.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Sun Nov 01, 2020 5:33 am
by Kierland
Yeah that’s called reality. Try it some time Tweaker.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2020 1:11 pm
by mvscal
Derron wrote: Sun Nov 01, 2020 3:51 am Twitter is already doing the set up on the vote by mail thing. They have a header that says with the vote by mail we will not know for days who the winner is despite claims by the candidates that they won.
Conditioning the sheeple to meekly accept blatant voter fraud on a national scale. Obviously, this only applies to Trump.

In the extraordinarily unlikely event that Grandpa Stinkfinger appears to be winning, these same frauds will call it for him in a twinkling.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2020 2:38 pm
by Kierland
Nice projection pedo. The race needs to be called by the time the electors vote. So STFU with your MAGA BS you fucking racist POS.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2020 4:27 pm
by Innocent Bystander
The Big Pickle wants in, JSC. He's betting:

Trump 326
Biden 212

Trump wins New York, Pennsylvania, Florida, Michigan and Minnesota.

He also said to tell you you're a FAGGOT.
I figure he's pleased, because he didn't use the other word.
Is there still time to cast bets?

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Mon Nov 02, 2020 5:19 pm
by FiatLux
Jsc810 wrote: Mon Nov 02, 2020 4:59 pm
Jsc810 wrote: Thu Oct 29, 2020 4:07 pm All picks must be posted by 6:00pm eastern time zone on November 3.
And you need to post a number for the electoral college outcome, "a close win for trump" or "a landslide for Biden" won't count for this contest.


I've got Biden with a 7% PV margin and winning the Electoral College 323 - 215.

In my view, there are 6 battleground states (AZ, FL, GA, NC, PA, TX) and Biden only needs one of them to win. I think Trump gets FL and TX.

The story of the election will be youth turnout and a surge in college educated whites, relative to non-college whites combining to give Biden a decisive victory and mandate.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:30 am
by Carson
FiatLux wrote: Mon Nov 02, 2020 5:19 pmThe story of the election will be youth turnout and a surge in college educated whites, relative to non-college whites combining to give Biden a decisive victory and mandate.
So, White Privilege wins again?

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 2:13 pm
by Bill in Houston
Carson wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 7:30 am
FiatLux wrote: Mon Nov 02, 2020 5:19 pmThe story of the election will be youth turnout and a surge in college educated whites, relative to non-college whites combining to give Biden a decisive victory and mandate.
So, White Privilege wins again?
Always has. Conservatives should be pleased.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Tue Nov 03, 2020 5:00 pm
by FiatLux
The most 2020 things ever.

Donald Trump will be getting fired on Colin Kaepernick's birthday.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 12:02 am
by FiatLux
I see BSmack or Chip taking this one...

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 2:48 am
by Softball Bat
As I type this, Biden is up .5% in North Carolina.

86% reporting.

Losing NC would not be a good thing for Team Dump.





Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:42 am
by smackaholic
So far, The D is rolling. NC looks tight, but I think leaning to TBOM. Looks like Trump did very well in FL with the brown folks.

Next up, Michigan, maybe. I think Cheetolini takes it. James is a strong candidate who will beat a very weak incumbent and I think help Trump by getting plenty of balck votes.

If WI and MN go in his column, PA can count ballots till the cows come home and no one will care.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 4:08 am
by smackaholic
Looks like the D might get NV.

No shock there. Those folks are pissed that everything is still locked down.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:27 am
by Carson
Jsc810 wrote: Tue Nov 03, 2020 3:21 pm And the end result will be:

Biden 351
trump 187
Uhh, no.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:19 pm
by smackaholic
So now we let the lawyers and vote counters decide. :doh:

The PA courts have basically said, yeah, anything that looks remotely like a vote is a vote.

Is that a post mark?

Could be. Count it.

SCOTUS needs to have a look.

There is such a simple solution. Vote in person, with a photo ID or get an absentee ballot early through legitimate process and require it be in the hands of the vote counters by election day.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:55 pm
by Softball Bat
smackaholic wrote:The PA courts have basically said, yeah, anything that looks remotely like a vote is a vote.

Is that a post mark?

Could be. Count it.
Link?

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 2:12 pm
by smackaholic
Look it up yourself.

PA courts have already said this.

My hope is that SCOTUS gives it a look. Tell them to follow their own damn rules.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 2:21 pm
by Softball Bat
smackaholic wrote:PA courts have already said this.
No, they DID NOT say what you posted.

They said that mail-in votes received by Friday would be counted -- provided they were postmarked by the 3rd.

If it is unclear if a mail-in that was received by Friday was actually mailed by the 3rd, they would assume that it was, unless there is some reason to think it was not.

The idea that such a procedure would result in anything remotely close to widespread voter fraud is -----> lunatic.


You are flailing badly with what you posted.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 3:35 pm
by smackaholic
Softball Bat wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 2:21 pm
smackaholic wrote:PA courts have already said this.
No, they DID NOT say what you posted.

They said that mail-in votes received by Friday would be counted -- provided they were postmarked by the 3rd.

If it is unclear if a mail-in that was received by Friday was actually mailed by the 3rd, they would assume that it was, unless there is some reason to think it was not.

The idea that such a procedure would result in anything remotely close to widespread voter fraud is -----> lunatic.


You are flailing badly with what you posted.
In an election this tight, you don't need "widespread fraud". You need what you need.

We'll see what happens.

I take a little solace in the fact that it looks like the Republicans keep the keys to the Senate.

This being the case, we have at least 2 years of deadlock. And as a general rule, deadlock in DC ain't so bad.

Maybe we stumble along for 4 year and the Republicans finally smarten up and run someone like Tim Scott.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:17 pm
by Carson
Start by asking WHY people voted for Trump instead of deciding they're stupid trash, you pompous political hack.

Neither party represents the average American anymore.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 7:11 pm
by Innocent Bystander
Doesn't matter. Move forward, work with what you've got, and with whom you've got. Do what you gotta do to get what you need done, and accept that people are like Tesla.

Enjoy dinner tonight.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:05 pm
by smackaholic
Jsc810 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 6:48 pm
Carson wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 5:17 pm you pompous political hack

Well, ok, I am at least one of those words.

And I'll accept your invitation and start by asking why people voted for trump.

Why did they? I look at him and see a corrupt buffoon who I would not trust to sell me a used car. I wouldn't vote for him for any political office, much less POTUS. Insert here any of George Will's articles on trump.

I know a few people who have Money. Big Money, money beyond what we can understand. Having dinner with one tonight. For those few people, yeah, I can understand voting for trump.

And for white supremacists, yeah I understand their votes as well.

But unless our country has millions more white supremacists than I realize, then there are many who I do not understand how they could possibly vote for trump. Would you mind edifying me?
Big money people don't really care that much. They are set, regardless.

Who should vote for Trump and why?

How about minorities and lower income people in general? They saw historic gains in employement levels and it was the lower income people who, for once shared in income gains.

How about people who might take advantage of new manufacturing jobs which could exist as companies decide to build things here rather than China?

How about people who are sick and tired of watching swamp creatures like Biden and his family gorge themselves by selling access or meddling in foreign affairs? And I talk about real, proven examples of it, from his bragging about holding aid to his crackhead son's completely inexplicable earnings overseas.

As for the white supremacist crack, well, papa willie, I must disagree with you. Chip isn't better. He is a POS socialist, or marxist, or, who the fukk knows. He claims to be a one time republican, who I assume would be for small government and free markets. But he is apparently so fukking obsessed with a woman's right to terminate a pregnancy, that he'll play along with the marxist. And he will use any tool, including fomenting a fukking race war, if that's what it takes.

BTW, I am reluctantly pro-choice, within reason.

I actually wouldn't even mind single payer healfcare. It would be better than the fukking pseudo-private mess we have today.

But I am not OK with disingenuous claims of racism, where none exists. And they do it for one reason. They think it motivates enough minorities to vote team D, even if it might be in their economic interests to do otherwise.

He doesn't give two fukks about the damage it causes to race relations which had improved steadily over the last half century.

He doesn't give two fukks about the genocide occuring in the black community which is a result of cops giving the hood a good leaving alone.

Nope, all that is collateral fukking damage.

It isn't a concern in his neighborhood.

Just gotta make sure a woman has unfettered access to whacking that kid, pretty much up to the point of delivery and in some cases, maybe later.

But you know what?

You fukkers didn't get the senate. You even lost a few in the house. And your racism claims didn't work well with hispanics and it is slowly but surely wearing thin with blacks. The SCOTUS is 6-3 conservative. It ain't getting packed.

I hope RvW does get overturned, partly because it was shit law to begin, and partly because it will cause you gastric issues which I truly wish result in yet another trip to the hospital. I'm not quite to a level of loathing that I hope it kills you, but i am close.

Maybe after that is done, we'll actually do it the right fukking way and put the issue to bed. A law or better yet, an amendment that basically says what RvW says, would be fine with me.

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:08 pm
by smackaholic
Jsc810 wrote: Wed Nov 04, 2020 9:47 pm Biden clearly was not my first choice. And depending on the Republican, I very well might have voted R this time.

But I can honestly say this: if trump would have been a Democrat, I would still be appalled by him, and under no circumstances would I ever vote for him.

Again, George Will is much more eloquent than I am, but we both conclude that trump is simply incompatible with public office.
Name one viable Republican you would have voted for.

You will not consider anyone who is not militantly pro abortion.

What is your definition of "compatible with public office"?

Re: the election, call it!

Posted: Wed Nov 04, 2020 10:10 pm
by smackaholic
BTW, I would vote for someone who is militantly pro abortion because, to be honest, it shouldn't be the center of anyone's political being.